Ethereum price setup turns bullish, but $1,800 still blocks rally

Ethereum traded near $1,777.49 at the time of writing, up 0.5% in the past 24 hours, according to crypto.news market data. 

The token had a 24-hour low of $1,732.10 and a high of $1,819.88, while daily trading volume stood near $17.08 billion.

The move kept ETH close to the $1,800 area, which traders now view as the main short-term resistance zone. The token has recovered from the sharp June selloff after buyers defended the $1,500 to $1,600 area.

The current setup has turned attention to a daily close above $1,800. Analysts say that level could decide whether ETH builds a stronger recovery or stays trapped in a range above $1,700.

Ethereum climbed about 12% from July 1 as weaker U.S. jobs data and renewed spot ETF inflows brought buyers back into the market. According to SoSoValue data, on July 6, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded a total net inflow of USD 29.082 million, led by BlackRock’s ETHA with USD 29.742 million in single-day net inflows. 

Analysts watch $1,800 and $1,844

Analyst Ali Charts said Ethereum is testing the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band near $1,796. He said the same area aligns with the TD Sequential resistance trendline, making it a key technical level for traders.

Ali said a daily close above $1,796, followed by a hold as support, would strengthen the bullish case. He added that a move through the TD risk line at $1,816 could open the way for a test of the channel resistance near $1,844.

“A break above both $1,796 and $1,816 could trigger a bullish breakout,” Ali said in his Ethereum setup. He placed Ethereum’s realized price target near $2,245 if buyers clear those levels and hold momentum.

Daan Crypto Trades also pointed to $1,800 as the level that matters most on the current timeframe. “If bulls can get a daily close over $1,800, that’d be the first sign of strength for me,” he said in an X post.

The lower level remains clear. Daan and Ali both pointed to $1,750 as the support that bulls must defend. A loss of that level would weaken the current setup and could return focus to the $1,700 area.

Indicators support short-term recovery

The ETH/USDT daily chart shows a recovery from the June low. ETH bounced from the $1,500 to $1,600 range and moved toward $1,800 before cooling slightly.

Momentum indicators support the rebound. The MACD histogram is positive near 31.83, while the MACD line sits near -4.67 and above the signal line near -36.50. This shows improving momentum, though the MACD line still needs to move above zero to confirm a stronger trend shift.

The RSI is also improving. It sits near 55.95, above its moving average near 43.25. That places RSI above the neutral 50 level, which shows buyers have short-term control without pushing the token into overbought territory.

As previously reported, Ethereum had already shown a rare TD buy signal while spot Ethereum ETF inflows returned. 

Binance liquidity improves, but reserves raise risk

On-chain data gives a mixed view. CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain said the ETH Binance 30-day exchange liquidity ratio rose to about 5.22. The reading was based on about 20.32 million ETH in 30-day trading volume and around 3.8 million ETH in Binance reserves.

That means each ETH held on Binance turned over more than five times during the period. The reading points to active trading and better use of available exchange liquidity. It also suggests that Binance can support strong ETH trading activity without a large rise in reserves.

Still, rising exchange supply remains a risk. CryptoQuant analyst BorisD said Binance held about 3.893 million ETH, while Bitfinex held 2.2 million ETH, OKX held 1.18 million ETH, and Bybit held 314,000 ETH. He said ETH inflows into Binance and OKX could add selling pressure if demand fails to absorb the extra supply.

Moreover, Binance users had already increased their ETH balances by 10.17% to about 4.14 million ETH in its June proof-of-reserves snapshot. Larger user balances can reflect deposits, purchases, internal transfers, or account activity, so the data does not show one clear reason.

The next test sits near $1,800. A clean daily close above that level could push ETH toward $1,844, then $2,060 and $2,245. A rejection, or a break below $1,750, would keep Ethereum in a choppy range and raise the risk of another move toward $1,700.